Vanersborgs IF 1-1 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
44%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-9.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.11/2.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/2.25
+47% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF and FBK Karlstad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FBK Karlstad at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs FBK Karlstad?

Vanersborgs IF 1-1 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 34%, draw 25%, FBK Karlstad 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FBK Karlstad), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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