Stade Ouchy 0-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.64/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
-10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.5 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.54 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
319 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
08.11.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 6-2 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
30.08.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-3 HT 0-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
0-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.39 xG 0.29
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
331 Passes 140
78% Pass Accuracy 58%
34 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais nicked a narrow win over Stade Ouchy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Ouchy at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 64% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 36%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.39 to 0.29 — the balance of chances actually favoured Stade Ouchy.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.67 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais?

Stade Ouchy 0-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 51%, draw 26%, Stade Nyonnais 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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