Nublense 2-0 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.42/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.39
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.7 Crosses 14.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
1W-0D-4L
AWAY La Serena
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.44 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.07.2022 La Serena La Serena 3-0 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
05.03.2022 Nublense Nublense 3-1 HT 2-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
06.10.2021 Nublense Nublense 0-1 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
08.05.2021 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
25.07.2015 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
2-0
AWAY La Serena
1.52 xG 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
308 Passes 344
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nublense vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense saw off La Serena 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nublense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nublense had 48% of the ball to La Serena's 52%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.52 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Nublense and 1.40 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Nublense vs La Serena?

Nublense 2-0 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nublense 48%, draw 26%, La Serena 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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