Union La Calera 1-0 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.36/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.26
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
17.2 Crosses 13.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
275 Passes 295
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
15.04.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
25.09.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
19.03.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.10.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
10.05.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
1-0
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.58 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
345 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera edged past Audax Italiano 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Union La Calera found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 53% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 47%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.58 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union La Calera and 0.83 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano?

Union La Calera 1-0 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 36%, draw 29%, Audax Italiano 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union La Calera), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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