Bayreuth 3-0 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.3pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
0.85/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.43
-15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 23.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
12 Corners 4
12.10.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
09.03.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-2 HT 0-2 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
29.08.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-0 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
27.07.2021 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
14.09.2019 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth cruised past Aubstadt 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayreuth and 1.17 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Aubstadt?

Bayreuth 3-0 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 43%, draw 25%, Aubstadt 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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