Aubstadt 2-2 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.51/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.05
-18% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
4 Corners 12
29.08.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-0 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
27.07.2021 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
14.09.2019 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt and Bayreuth couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aubstadt at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Aubstadt and 2.00 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?

Aubstadt 2-2 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 49%, draw 29%, Bayreuth 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
9 Mar 2024
15:00 Energie Cottbus vs Altglienicke Analysis →
15:00 Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg Analysis →
16:00 Kickers Offenbach vs Schott Mainz Analysis →
16:00 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Rot Weiss Ahlen Analysis →
16:00 Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Würzburger Kickers Analysis →
16:00 Illertissen vs Schalding-Heining Analysis →