Freiburg II 4-2 Göppinger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.21
Over
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No Pick
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Göppinger SV EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.98/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.97
+1% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +87%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Göppinger SV
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.10.2024 Göppinger SV 1-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Göppinger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II saw off Göppinger SV 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Freiburg II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Göppinger SV?

Freiburg II 4-2 Göppinger SV in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Göppinger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 48%, draw 25%, Göppinger SV 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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