Göppinger SV 1-0 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
54%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.21
Over Pick
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
53%
Away Win
56%
-3.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göppinger SV EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 61%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.99/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.73
+74% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +44%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Göppinger SV vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göppinger SV edged past Freiburg II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Göppinger SV vs Freiburg II?

Göppinger SV 1-0 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göppinger SV vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Göppinger SV 24%, draw 22%, Freiburg II 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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