Nürnberg II 2-0 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.87/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.47
+29% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Illertissen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 0-2 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
25.11.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
19.08.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 0-2 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
10.04.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II got the better of Illertissen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Nürnberg II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nürnberg II and 1.17 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Illertissen?

Nürnberg II 2-0 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 38%, draw 28%, Illertissen 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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