Illertissen 0-2 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
2.41/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.23
+12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 10.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
19.08.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 0-2 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
10.04.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 2-4 HT 1-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II beat Illertissen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Illertissen at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Illertissen and 1.67 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Nürnberg II?

Illertissen 0-2 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 50%, draw 23%, Nürnberg II 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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