Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 VFC Plauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.8pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.06/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.86
-12% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY VFC Plauen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.11.2024 VFC Plauen VFC Plauen 1-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VFC Plauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt and VFC Plauen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Rot-Weiss Erfurt carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VFC Plauen?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 VFC Plauen in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VFC Plauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 66%, draw 18%, VFC Plauen 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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