Wacker Burghausen 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
2.23
Over
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.53
No Pick
57%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
61%
-17.9pp
57%
BTTS No
39%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.48/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.02
-11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wacker Burghausen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.10.2024 Schwaben Augsburg 3-2 HT 2-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wacker Burghausen vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wacker Burghausen edged past Schwaben Augsburg 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Wacker Burghausen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Wacker Burghausen vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Wacker Burghausen 1-0 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wacker Burghausen vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Schwaben Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wacker Burghausen 36%, draw 27%, Schwaben Augsburg 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schwaben Augsburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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