La Massana 1-4 FC Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
13%
8.78
Away Pick
74%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
22%
4-5
28%
6+
29%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
21%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
49%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FC Santa Coloma win — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.5pp
13%
Draw
8%
+5.5pp
74%
Away Win
88%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Massana EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 94%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
0.00/4.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.03/0.34
-100% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +53%
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Massana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
14.12.2024 La Massana La Massana 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
27.10.2024 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 2-0 HT 1-0 La Massana La Massana AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Massana
1-4
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
17% Ball Possession 83%
2 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH La Massana vs FC Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Santa Coloma cruised past La Massana 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, La Massana had 17% of the ball to FC Santa Coloma's 83%, shots finished 2-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Santa Coloma led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for La Massana and 3.00 for FC Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of La Massana vs FC Santa Coloma?

La Massana 1-4 FC Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Massana vs FC Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split La Massana 13%, draw 13%, FC Santa Coloma 74%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Santa Coloma), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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