27/10/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-0
FC Santa Coloma vs La Massana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
84%
22%
Draw
9%
13%
Away Win
6%
43%
Under 2.5
30%
57%
Over 2.5
70%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Santa Coloma v La Massana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Santa Coloma
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
La Massana
EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
3.09/0.75
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/4.49
+10%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+63%
/
-41%
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
509 · 88%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
252 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.1
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
FC Santa Coloma vs La Massana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Santa Coloma got the better of La Massana 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of FC Santa Coloma vs La Massana?
FC Santa Coloma 2-0 La Massana in the Andorra - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Santa Coloma vs La Massana?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Santa Coloma 65%, draw 22%, La Massana 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Santa Coloma), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
AND
More Andorra - 1st Division
27 Oct 2024