UE Santa Coloma 2-1 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-17.6pp
29%
Draw
19%
+9.7pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 14%
-20% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.09/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.31
-24% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UE Santa Coloma
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
17.03.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada ANDK
18.02.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
25.11.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-2 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
16.04.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 1-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
29.01.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-1 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
POST-MATCH UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Santa Coloma nicked a narrow win over Penya Encarnada 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UE Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UE Santa Coloma and 1.17 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

UE Santa Coloma 2-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split UE Santa Coloma 53%, draw 29%, Penya Encarnada 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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