Atletico Atlanta 1-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.9pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
1.20/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.36
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta and Patronato couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Atlanta at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato?

Atletico Atlanta 1-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 49%, draw 29%, Patronato 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Atlanta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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