Estudiantes Caseros 0-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.54/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.04
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.04.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
29.12.2020 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
07.03.2020 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
18.07.2015 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
07.03.2015 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Caseros at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 0.80 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Moron?

Estudiantes Caseros 0-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 43%, draw 31%, Deportivo Moron 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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