Floreat Athena 0-2 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.4pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floreat Athena EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
1.81/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
+14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -70%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floreat Athena
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fremantle City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
31.08.2024 Fremantle City Fremantle City 3-4 HT 1-1 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
08.06.2024 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 1-2 HT 1-1 Fremantle City Fremantle City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Floreat Athena vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremantle City beat Floreat Athena 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fremantle City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Floreat Athena and 2.50 for Fremantle City.

What was the final score of Floreat Athena vs Fremantle City?

Floreat Athena 0-2 Fremantle City in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floreat Athena vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremantle City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Floreat Athena 32%, draw 25%, Fremantle City 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremantle City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremantle City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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