Fremantle City 3-4 Floreat Athena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.98
Over
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
46%
-11.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.7pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Floreat Athena EU Bookmakers 49%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
2.46/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.03
+64% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremantle City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Floreat Athena
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.06.2024 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 1-2 HT 1-1 Fremantle City Fremantle City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Fremantle City vs Floreat Athena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floreat Athena nicked a narrow win over Fremantle City 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fremantle City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Fremantle City vs Floreat Athena?

Fremantle City 3-4 Floreat Athena in the Australia - National Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremantle City vs Floreat Athena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremantle City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fremantle City 41%, draw 25%, Floreat Athena 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fremantle City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fremantle City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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