NWS Spirit 2-2 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.69/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.64
-15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
1W-0D-1L
AWAY St. George Saints
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.07.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 0-2 HT 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
06.04.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-3 HT 0-1 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit and St. George Saints shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was NWS Spirit at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NWS Spirit and 1.50 for St. George Saints.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints?

NWS Spirit 2-2 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 45%, draw 23%, St. George Saints 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NWS Spirit) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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