NWS Spirit 1-3 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

NWS Spirit
1-3 HT 0-1
St. George Saints
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
42%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NWS Spirit v St. George Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 36%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.94/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.04
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. George Saints saw off NWS Spirit 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was NWS Spirit at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints?

NWS Spirit 1-3 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 50%, draw 22%, St. George Saints 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NWS Spirit) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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