Neman Grodno 0-1 Dinamo Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒20:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.56
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 39% vs market 34.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.46/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.54
+8% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Brest
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-2 HT 1-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
01.06.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
23.09.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
06.05.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-3 HT 1-3 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
22.08.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
10.04.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Brest
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Dinamo Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest squeezed past Neman Grodno 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Neman Grodno at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 58% of the ball to Dinamo Brest's 42%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Neman Grodno and 0.83 for Dinamo Brest.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Dinamo Brest?

Neman Grodno 0-1 Dinamo Brest in the Belarus - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Dinamo Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 43%, draw 28%, Dinamo Brest 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Neman Grodno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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