Cuniburo FC 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.80/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.26
-1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
15.5 Crosses 15.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.16 xG 0.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
330 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca squeezed past Cuniburo FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cuniburo FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 50%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.16 to 0.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cuniburo FC.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Cuniburo FC 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuniburo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 43%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cuenca 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cuniburo FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cuniburo FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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