El Nacional vs Delfin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Delfin — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Delfin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Delfin
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-0
Delfin
EKVK
1-3
HT 0-0
Delfin
EKV1
2-1
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
El Nacional 3-2 Delfin — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional squeezed past Delfin 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had El Nacional as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, El Nacional had 54% of the ball to Delfin's 46%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.61 to 2.78 — on chances, Delfin could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Nacional and 1.83 for Delfin.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Delfin?
El Nacional 3-2 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Delfin?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 48%, draw 26%, Delfin 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.