Delfin vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Delfin v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Delfin vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Delfin
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-0
Delfin
EKVK
1-3
HT 0-0
Delfin
EKV1
2-1
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
Delfin 1-1 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Delfin and El Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Delfin had 44% of the ball to El Nacional's 56%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.14 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Delfin and 1.33 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Delfin vs El Nacional?
Delfin 1-1 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Delfin vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Delfin 40%, draw 32%, El Nacional 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Delfin), BTTS No went the other way.