Aucas vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
Macara
EKV1
2-4
HT 2-3
Macara
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 3-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas beat Macara 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Aucas made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Aucas had 57% of the ball to Macara's 43%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.22 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aucas and 1.33 for Macara.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Macara?
Aucas 3-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aucas 36%, draw 27%, Macara 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.