Macara vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Aucas — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
Macara
EKV1
2-4
HT 2-3
Macara
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-1
Aucas
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
Macara
EKV1
Macara 0-2 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas got the better of Macara 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Aucas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Macara had 54% of the ball to Aucas's 46%, shots finished 18-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Macara and 1.17 for Aucas.
What was the final score of Macara vs Aucas?
Macara 0-2 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Aucas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Macara 35%, draw 30%, Aucas 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.