Imbabura 0-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.4
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
43%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+12.9pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.9pp
43%
Away Win
63%
-19.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imbabura EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 67%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.90/3.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.74
+140% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
7.0 Crosses 21.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imbabura
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 8
28.07.2022 Imbabura Imbabura 1-3 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imbabura
0-1
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Imbabura vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle edged past Imbabura 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Imbabura had 54% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 46%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Imbabura vs Independiente Del Valle?

Imbabura 0-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imbabura vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 28%, draw 28%, Independiente Del Valle 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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