LDU Quito 1-0 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.71/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.57
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
21.0 Crosses 12.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.78 xG 0.96
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
413 Passes 200
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
20.05.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
31.07.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
13.03.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
27.11.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
17.07.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
1-0
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito squeezed past Tecnico Universitario 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 56% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 44%, shots finished 21-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for LDU Quito and 0.33 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Tecnico Universitario?

LDU Quito 1-0 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 54%, draw 25%, Tecnico Universitario 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ BTTS No
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