Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Imbabura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-8.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Imbabura EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.68/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.36
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -20%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
477 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.4 Crosses 10.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Imbabura
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
8 Yellow Cards 0
28.04.2024 Imbabura Imbabura 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
28.07.2022 Imbabura Imbabura 1-3 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3-1
AWAY Imbabura
2.14 xG 0.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
268 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Imbabura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle saw off Imbabura 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 45% of the ball to Imbabura's 55%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.14 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.50 for Imbabura.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Imbabura?

Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Imbabura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 65%, draw 21%, Imbabura 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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