Rodez 1-1 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.34
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.42
6+
11%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.52
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
16%
6.47
X/2
11%
5.17
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.2
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.33/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.96
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.5 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Paris FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 0.95
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
268 Passes 507
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 3-3 HT 1-2 Rodez Rodez FR2
21.05.2024 Rodez Rodez 2-2 HT 2-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
23.04.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
05.12.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
13.05.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
17.09.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez and Paris FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rodez had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rodez and 1.33 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Paris FC?

Rodez 1-1 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rodez 40%, draw 26%, Paris FC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rodez), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rodez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
26 Apr 2025
21:00 Lorient vs Caen Analysis →
21:00 Pau vs Metz Analysis →