Paris FC 3-3 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
17%
4.03
X/2
11%
9.86
X/X
14%
5.21
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
8%
7.5
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.67/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.45
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.7 Crosses 20.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rodez
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
472 Passes 297
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2024 Rodez Rodez 2-2 HT 2-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
23.04.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
05.12.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
13.05.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
17.09.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
16.04.2022 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC and Rodez shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paris FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paris FC and 0.83 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Rodez?

Paris FC 3-3 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 47%, draw 29%, Rodez 24%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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