Clermont 2-1 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.3
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 37% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.91
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
11%
13.25
X/1
12%
6.82
X/2
21%
4.75
X/X
10%
4.54
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.95
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.19/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.11
+43% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.7 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lorient
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
426 Passes 348
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Lorient Lorient 5-0 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
12.11.2023 Clermont Clermont 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
27.05.2023 Clermont Clermont 2-0 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
28.08.2022 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
13.03.2022 Clermont Clermont 0-2 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
03.10.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
2-1
AWAY Lorient
0.97 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
331 Passes 439
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont edged past Lorient 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lorient at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Clermont had 44% of the ball to Lorient's 56%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.97 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Clermont and 1.67 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Lorient?

Clermont 2-1 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Clermont 30%, draw 29%, Lorient 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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