Martigues 0-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.19
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.8
X/1
10%
6.79
X/2
17%
4.57
X/X
10%
4.23
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.97
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 1/X at 13.8 — our 12% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 48%
-20% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-70% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
09.02.2024 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-0 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR3
04.09.2023 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
06.03.2023 Martigues Martigues 0-2 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
23.09.2022 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-2 HT 1-1 Martigues Martigues FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
0-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.47 xG 1.98
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
193 Passes 474
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 squeezed past Martigues 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Red Star FC 93 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Martigues had 33% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 67%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.47 to 1.98 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Red Star FC 93's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Red Star FC 93 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Martigues and 1.75 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Red Star FC 93?

Martigues 0-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated an Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Martigues 29%, draw 28%, Red Star FC 93 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Red Star FC 93), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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