Dunkerque 3-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 31% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.43
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.96
X/2
11%
5.92
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.41
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.03/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.6 Crosses 18.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
373 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-5 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque HAZ
20.04.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
04.11.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
22.04.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
03.12.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
28.04.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
3-1
AWAY Amiens SC
2.34 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
366 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque got the better of Amiens SC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dunkerque as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dunkerque had 52% of the ball to Amiens SC's 48%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.34 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunkerque and 1.00 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Amiens SC?

Dunkerque 3-1 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 41%, draw 27%, Amiens SC 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
1 Nov 2024
22:00 Troyes vs Stade Lavallois Analysis →
22:00 Annecy vs Pau Analysis →
22:00 Clermont vs Lorient Analysis →
22:00 Martigues vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
22:00 Paris FC vs Rodez Analysis →