Amiens SC 0-1 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.05
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.34
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
11%
4.65
X/2
11%
6.19
X/X
14%
3.74
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
17%
4.98
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.20/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.16
-11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.9 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.28 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
333 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
22.04.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
03.12.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
28.04.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
19.01.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FRK
01.12.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
0-1
AWAY Dunkerque
0.65 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
398 Passes 417
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque edged past Amiens SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Dunkerque made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Amiens SC had 49% of the ball to Dunkerque's 51%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.65 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Amiens SC and 0.33 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Dunkerque?

Amiens SC 0-1 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 35%, draw 30%, Dunkerque 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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