Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.48/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.26
-8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.0 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 Passes 327
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-2 HT 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
08.04.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
11.09.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
03.05.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
26.09.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
04.05.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-1 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1-2
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.79 xG 0.88
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
391 Passes 172
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants nicked a narrow win over Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kaizer Chiefs at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 63% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 37%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaizer Chiefs had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 0.83 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Marumo Gallants?

Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 44%, draw 29%, Marumo Gallants 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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