Chuncheon Citizen 0-1 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
0.96/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.99
-16% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
252 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 9
26.10.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-2 HT 1-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.06.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-1 HT 1-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
01.09.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
06.05.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail nicked a narrow win over Chuncheon Citizen 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Daejeon Korail as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Daejeon Korail led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 1.00 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Daejeon Korail?

Chuncheon Citizen 0-1 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 28%, draw 28%, Daejeon Korail 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Korail), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5
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