Paju Citizen 1-2 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 26 Apr 2025

Paju Citizen
1-2 HT 0-1
Gimhae City
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2025

Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
+9.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
49%
-11.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paju Citizen v Gimhae City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
-35% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
13.04.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
24.06.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
12.03.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.06.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
05.03.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-2 HT 0-2 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City nicked a narrow win over Paju Citizen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gimhae City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paju Citizen and 1.00 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Paju Citizen 1-2 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 33%, draw 30%, Gimhae City 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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