Paju Citizen 1-1 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.81/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.90
-29% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13.04.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
24.06.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
12.03.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.06.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
05.03.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-2 HT 0-2 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
21.08.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen and Gimhae City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimhae City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paju Citizen and 1.17 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Paju Citizen 1-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 24%, draw 33%, Gimhae City 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimhae City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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