Gyeongju HNP 0-2 Yeoju Sejong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 18%
-14% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.74/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.02
-4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yeoju Sejong
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.04.2024 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 1-5 HT 1-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Yeoju Sejong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeoju Sejong got the better of Gyeongju HNP 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Yeoju Sejong?

Gyeongju HNP 0-2 Yeoju Sejong in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Yeoju Sejong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 50%, draw 25%, Yeoju Sejong 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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