Yeoju Sejong 1-5 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP ran out comfortable winners over Yeoju Sejong 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Gyeongju HNP?

Yeoju Sejong 1-5 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 34%, draw 25%, Gyeongju HNP 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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