Ulsan Citizen 0-2 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.84
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
20.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
29.10.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-2 HT 1-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
04.06.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 3-4 HT 2-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen saw off Ulsan Citizen 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Citizen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 2.00 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen?

Ulsan Citizen 0-2 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 43%, draw 27%, Siheung Citizen 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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