Busan Transportation 1-3 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 52%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.82/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.71
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
228 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
09.09.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
14.05.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
03.07.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
26.06.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-2 HT 0-2 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong saw off Busan Transportation 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.25 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Hwaseong?

Busan Transportation 1-3 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 25%, draw 26%, Hwaseong 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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