Al Zawraa 3-0 Naft Al-Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
3.05
No
55%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
75%
-15.6pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.9pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
29%
+16.4pp
55%
BTTS No
71%
-16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 9%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.28/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.68
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
403 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Naft Al-Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa cruised past Naft Al-Basra 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Naft Al-Basra?

Al Zawraa 3-0 Naft Al-Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Naft Al-Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 59%, draw 28%, Naft Al-Basra 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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