Al-Qasim 1-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
1.95
No
68%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.9pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+7.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-7.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
47%
-15.0pp
68%
BTTS No
53%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 45%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.32/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.91
+34% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +14%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
158 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qasim
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
23.02.2024 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3-0 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qasim and Al Quwa Al Jawiya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Al-Qasim 1-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraq - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 25%, draw 30%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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