Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.56/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.77
-32% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
232 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.12.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
26.11.2023 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) edged past Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 45% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 55%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Omiya Ardija (K) and 3.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 24%, draw 33%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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