Nojima Stella (K) 4-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Stats & Model Review (Japan - WE League Women's, 26 Apr 2025)

Nojima Stella (K)

4-1 HT 3-1

JEF United (K)

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗

Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Nojima Stella (K) vs JEF United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

39%

2.46

Draw

32%

2.83

Away

29%

2.9

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59%

1.52

Over 2.5

41%

2.38

Both Teams to Score

Yes

44%

2.09

56%

1.66

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

37%

2-3 Goals

39%

4-5 Goals

17%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

20%

1/2

1/X

X/1

13%

X/2

X/X

14%

2/1

2/2

14%

2/X

11%

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

◎

Our call

Under 2.5 — 59% ✗

Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

39%

Home Win

37%

+2.0pp

32%

Draw

32%

+0.1pp

29%

Away Win

31%

-2.3pp

59%

Under 2.5

62%

-3.1pp

41%

Over 2.5

38%

+3.1pp

44%

BTTS Yes

44%

+0.4pp

56%

BTTS No

56%

-0.4pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nojima Stella (K) v JEF United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 41%

Head to Head

AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 34%

-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%

1.27/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.58

+35% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +81%

47% Ball Possession 53%

12 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Target 5

5 Corners 5

257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Nojima Stella (K) vs JEF United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Nojima Stella (K)

0W-2D-1L

AWAY JEF United (K)

1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33

44% Ball Possession 56%

9 Total Shots 8

4 Shots on Target 5

3 Corners 6

1 Yellow Cards 1

The Meetings

29.09.2024 JEF United (K)

2-1 HT 1-1

Nojima Stella (K) JWEL

02.05.2024 JEF United (K)

1-1 HT 1-1

Nojima Stella (K) JWEL

17.09.2023 Nojima Stella (K)

1-1 HT 1-0

JEF United (K) JKLK1

Nojima Stella (K) 4-1 JEF United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Nojima Stella (K)

4-1

AWAY JEF United (K)

54% Ball Possession 46%

16 Total Shots 8

7 Shots on Target 2

6 Corners 3

0 Yellow Cards 3

POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs JEF United (K)

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) ran out comfortable winners over JEF United (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Nojima Stella (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 54% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 46%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, JEF United (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 1.33 for JEF United (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 4-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nojima Stella (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 39%, draw 32%, JEF United (K) 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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