JEF United (K) 2-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.03
-26% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
02.05.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
17.09.2023 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JKLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
2-1
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) nicked a narrow win over Nojima Stella (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day JEF United (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 59% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 41%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JEF United (K) and 1.00 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

JEF United (K) 2-1 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 40%, draw 33%, Nojima Stella (K) 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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