Parceiro Nagano (K) 0-1 Urawa Red (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
60%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+8.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-8.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 72%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.92/3.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.56/0.72
+150% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
222 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Urawa Red (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
31.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-5 HT 2-5 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0-1
AWAY Urawa Red (K)
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Urawa Red (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) nicked a narrow win over Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 44% of the ball to Urawa Red (K)'s 56%, shots finished 3-5.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 0-1 Urawa Red (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 22%, draw 19%, Urawa Red (K) 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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